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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 36 7-13 6-11 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 22 13 -
J. Catron 32 1-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 3 2 2 -
L. Longmire 29 5-8 2-4 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 12 15 -
J. Crittle 27 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 10 1 -
K. Brown 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 0 4 -
M. Humphrey 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Dunigan 17 1-2 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Odia 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Sim 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Claitt 37 3-3 1-1 1-2 4 3 2 0 1 8 13 -
C. Haynes 37 5-13 4-9 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 15 8 -
S. Tarver 32 2-4 0-0 3-5 4 1 2 0 1 7 9 -
R. Schaftenaar 32 2-8 1-2 4-6 2 5 3 2 2 9 11 -
O. Johnson 26 5-8 4-6 0-4 3 1 2 2 4 14 10 -
D. Deane 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Hampton 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
L. Wallace 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Tarver 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter