Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -18 (51-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kurz | 0 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Mickelson | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Karcic | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Dougherty | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Getty | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Michael | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| V. Murray | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Gobuty | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Harris | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Jones | 0 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
* = starter