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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 โœ— (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawson 0 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 8 8 -
J. Sepulveda 0 3-7 0-3 0-1 4 2 1 2 5 6 3 -
S. Grace 0 2-8 0-4 5-6 5 7 0 0 3 9 10 -
B. Denson 0 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 2 3 6 10 -
J. Stokes 0 7-14 6-10 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 20 9 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Zurich 0 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
R. Junaid 0 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Rushdan 0 3-6 0-2 1-2 5 2 2 1 2 7 9 -
B. Ray 0 5-18 2-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 -1 -
E. Prince 0 8-24 2-6 7-9 2 4 7 0 0 25 14 -

* = starter