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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 36 5-12 2-8 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 12 9 -
H. Dugat 35 5-9 1-3 3-4 2 3 0 1 0 14 11 -
C. Jerrells 33 2-10 0-3 1-2 4 2 3 0 9 5 -5 -
K. Rogers 33 7-13 0-0 4-5 4 2 1 0 2 18 10 -
L. Dunn 27 5-10 2-7 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 13 8 -
Q. Acy 18 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
A. Jones 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
F. Ellis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
M. Diene 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Carroll 34 7-14 0-2 11-13 9 1 2 1 2 25 22 -
L. Lyons 30 8-11 0-1 14-15 6 2 0 1 3 30 25 -
J.T. Tiller 29 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 8 2 0 0 10 19 -
Z. Taylor 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 0 5 -
M. Denmon 26 3-7 2-4 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 9 9 -
K. English 20 3-7 1-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 9 2 -
M. Lawrence 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
K. Ramsey 7 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Safford 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Bowers 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
M. Paul 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter