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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mavraides 37 6-8 4-6 6-6 2 1 0 0 0 22 17 -
D. Davis 33 7-14 3-6 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 19 6 -
M. Schroeder 32 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 6 0 0 1 5 8 -
P. Buczak 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 8 5 -
P. Saunders 22 4-7 0-2 0-2 2 2 1 1 2 8 5 -
K. Maddox 20 0-1 0-0 5-6 5 4 0 0 0 5 13 -
N. Lake 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Finley 12 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
J. Briggs 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 39 9-15 0-3 9-12 6 4 0 0 3 27 19 -
P. Boehm 33 1-3 1-3 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
D. Miller 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
D. Housman 27 5-5 1-1 4-7 1 6 0 0 1 15 16 -
A. Pusar 26 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
O. McNally 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
K. Wright 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. McGeary 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Kenyi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter