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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fortson 35 6-12 0-2 5-6 7 9 3 0 4 17 20 -
M. Washington 34 11-21 0-2 2-3 5 0 0 1 2 24 7 -
S. Welsh 29 1-7 1-2 1-2 3 3 2 0 0 4 5 -
R. Clarke 28 5-10 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
J. Henry 26 4-10 2-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 3 10 5 -
M. Britt 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
M. Sanchez 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Moore 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Clark 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson 37 7-13 0-0 4-4 11 1 0 7 3 18 21 -
T. Mitchell 37 4-13 1-1 2-3 10 0 2 0 3 11 7 -
M. Thornton 36 5-12 1-3 7-10 8 1 1 0 2 18 14 -
B. Spencer 34 6-10 5-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 5 21 14 -
G. Temple 26 0-5 0-3 4-4 4 3 1 1 1 4 7 -
T. Martin 15 2-8 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 5 4 -
Q. Thornton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Bass 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
A. Farrer 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Graham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Warren 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter