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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 37 4-7 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
T. Hughes 33 3-10 1-6 8-11 4 3 1 0 2 15 11 -
J. Krabbenhoft 31 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 2 6 -
T. Jarmusz 25 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
M. Landry 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 10 12 -
J. Taylor 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
J. Leuer 17 4-6 1-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 12 5 -
K. Nankivil 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Gullikson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 39 7-11 4-6 8-8 2 2 1 0 0 26 20 -
M. Thompson 39 2-5 1-2 2-4 1 7 1 0 1 7 10 -
K. Coble 30 3-9 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
J. Nash 30 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
L. Mirkovic 25 2-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 7 6 -
J. Shurna 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
K. Rowley 10 1-1 0-0 1-6 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
S. Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Curletti 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Capocci 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter