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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (5.6 off)
Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: USC Trojans +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Robertson 39 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
P. Christopher 39 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 1 -
J. Randle 38 4-13 2-8 2-2 2 5 1 0 4 12 3 -
J. Boykin 29 6-12 0-1 6-8 10 3 0 1 0 18 20 -
J. Wilkes 25 8-13 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 0 16 14 -
H. Kamp 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Gutierrez 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
D.J. Seeley 6 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
O. Amoke 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
N. Knezevic 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 39 5-14 1-4 3-5 3 2 1 0 2 14 4 -
T. Gibson 36 5-11 0-0 2-2 13 2 1 2 4 12 15 -
D. DeRozan 35 8-12 0-0 3-6 4 0 1 0 2 19 10 -
D. Lewis 32 3-10 1-4 5-7 1 2 0 0 2 12 3 -
M. Johnson 23 3-5 0-0 0-5 3 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
L. Washington 16 1-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
N. Vucevic 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
D. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -
J. Cameron 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Diarra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter