Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Townsend | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Daniels | 33 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 29 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| V. Cordell | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Galick | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Mels | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Taylor | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Hill | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Wallace | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| X. Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 35 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 35 | 7-18 | 4-12 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| T. Shelton | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Lewis | 30 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Manley | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Anderson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Hanson | 10 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Henning | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter