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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 37 7-10 7-8 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 21 16 -
B. Tinsley 35 3-7 3-6 4-8 3 4 2 0 2 13 13 -
J. Taylor 34 6-7 0-0 2-4 9 5 1 0 1 14 21 -
G. Drake 29 4-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 8 3 -
A.J. Ogilvy 29 5-9 0-0 4-5 6 5 1 0 5 14 12 -
D. McClellan 11 1-1 0-0 3-8 4 1 1 0 0 5 10 -
F. Ezeli 11 2-3 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
S. Tchiengang 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
L. Goulbourne 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 37 2-6 0-3 1-6 2 7 3 0 1 5 10 -
R. Barrett 33 10-17 5-10 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 29 12 -
T. Waller 33 3-10 2-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 8 -1 -
K. Barber 30 5-7 0-0 2-5 8 0 1 3 2 12 15 -
L. Hargrove 28 4-7 3-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 11 11 -
F. Sullivan 17 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Lett 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Knox 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Reed 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter