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2009-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Cornell Big Red Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (26.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -

Actual: Cornell Big Red +32 (90-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 29 6-12 0-3 3-3 4 2 0 0 2 15 7 -
M. Mullery 29 6-9 1-1 1-2 6 1 1 1 4 14 10 -
A. Williams 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Skrelja 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
S. Friske 20 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 8 4 -
S. Kane 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Kelly 15 0-2 0-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. Gruber 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Harris 14 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 7 2 -
C. Taylor 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Kaluz 8 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 28 5-10 3-7 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 13 4 -
A. Tyler 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
L. Dale 22 9-11 2-3 3-3 4 5 1 0 1 23 21 -
J. Foote 21 3-9 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 1 3 8 6 -
C. Wroblewski 18 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 11 6 -
G. Reeves 18 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
B. Kreefer 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 4 8 -
A. Wire 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 4 9 -
A. Gore 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Battle 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Mullen 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Hill 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Van Burck 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Jaques 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Osgood 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Wilkins 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
P. Reynolds 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter