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2009-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +11 (53-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 33 3-9 0-2 1-4 5 1 2 0 2 7 4 -
R. Morin 30 2-12 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 -5 -
C. Andrews 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Gibson 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 4 -1 -
A. Zampier 22 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 4 -4 -
G. Fiddler 22 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 1 8 12 -
P. Braswell 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
P. Nelson 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
M. Sands 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
R. Mantilla 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
G. Mangano 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Scott 35 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
N. Agho 34 4-12 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
J. Miller 33 8-10 0-0 0-2 11 0 2 1 1 16 19 -
A. Ampim 26 3-10 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 6 4 -
K. Bulger 24 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 4 0 3 6 11 -
P. Foley 15 4-8 0-1 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 12 4 -
S. Egee 13 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -6 -
K.J. Matsui 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Crimmins 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter