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2009-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 86.6% 13.4% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -43.3 (41.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% -
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 34 2-11 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 4 -6 -
T. Darby 32 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. Bell 27 13-14 4-4 2-4 3 1 4 0 3 32 23 -
C. Moore 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Holmes 23 3-6 1-2 2-3 3 5 2 0 3 9 10 -
L. Jackson 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 3 3 -
J. Dupre' 17 1-5 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Suttle Jr. 11 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
M. Hornbuckle 10 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
A. Shannon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Clardy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 37 12-16 3-4 1-2 10 0 1 1 3 28 21 -
K. Vaughn 34 4-8 0-1 6-7 3 4 1 0 1 14 13 -
M. Quezada 30 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 5 8 2 -
A. Caloiaro 22 2-7 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
B. Wallace 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
P. Smith 19 1-3 1-3 3-4 3 5 0 0 1 6 10 -
C. O'Brien 13 0-3 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
H. Taylor 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
C. Hernandez 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Bryant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter