Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -15 (56-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Lucas | 33 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| D. Summers | 30 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Green | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Morgan | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Herzog | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gatens | 39 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Peterson | 39 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Kelly | 38 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Cole | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Fuller | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Palmer | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Brommer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter