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2009-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hill 37 8-17 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 1 4 19 7 -
M. Johnson 36 4-9 2-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 10 8 -
L. Fields 36 7-11 1-1 3-4 6 0 1 1 3 18 12 -
A. Goods 31 3-6 1-2 6-9 4 4 0 0 2 13 13 -
W. Paul 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Green 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
J. Owens 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 3 -
J. Mann 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dildy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. DeRozan 38 3-7 0-1 2-2 5 3 2 1 1 8 11 -
T. Gibson 38 9-12 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 2 20 14 -
D. Lewis 37 4-9 0-2 1-2 3 1 3 1 2 9 6 -
D. Hackett 37 5-9 2-4 0-1 2 4 2 0 2 12 9 -
L. Washington 18 4-8 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 1 0 12 10 -
M. Johnson 18 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 1 9 8 -
K. Wilkinson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Smith 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Vucevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter