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2009-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 33 4-12 2-8 1-1 4 7 1 0 1 11 10 -
A. Gee 31 8-16 1-3 1-2 7 1 1 0 2 18 9 -
J. Green 30 9-11 0-0 6-7 4 0 1 1 1 24 18 -
S. Hillman 26 2-8 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Knox 20 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 2 12 10 -
A. Brock 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 7 6 -
D. Jemison 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Y. Coleman 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Steele 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Hollinger 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Welsh 34 2-7 2-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 8 6 -
C. Fortson 34 0-4 0-1 8-10 3 9 3 1 3 8 17 -
R. Clarke 31 9-13 6-10 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 26 18 -
M. Sanchez 30 4-9 0-1 5-8 5 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
M. Washington 30 7-10 0-1 3-4 5 2 1 2 1 17 16 -
J. Henry 19 2-4 1-2 2-3 8 1 0 0 2 7 10 -
M. Britt 18 1-3 0-0 6-6 4 0 1 0 0 8 10 -
A. Clark 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
S. Cox 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter