Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bush | 32 | 11-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| J. Bowman | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Rybak | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Benson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. White | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| D. Moseley | 13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Gough | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Sloan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 37 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Bonney | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Gabbidon | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Shank | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 25 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Gasporra | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Jackson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| R. Frohlich | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Paye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter