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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 15.7% 84.3% -
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 (12.8 off)

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +28 (73-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Mosley 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 5 1 2 10 -
K. Porterie 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. Jones 24 4-13 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 0 -
C. Clark 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 3 3 2 -
L. McConathy 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. White 17 2-9 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 3 3 6 5 -
M. McConathy 17 2-8 0-2 2-3 1 1 1 0 3 6 -2 -
D. Petravicius 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Knight 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
A. Brooks 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
D. Richardson 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Shaw 33 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 6 7 -
E. Williams 28 5-11 1-1 0-1 3 4 2 2 2 11 9 -
M. Kingsley 27 12-15 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 2 25 15 -
J. Alexander 26 0-7 0-6 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
G. Adams 18 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 4 2 -
Z. Williams 15 1-5 0-1 0-1 3 2 2 1 1 2 4 -
E. Bell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 3 0 1 0 7 -
W. Harris 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
B. Akpan 8 5-5 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 12 -
J. Scott 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
A. Smith 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McDaniel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Davis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Falke 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter