Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 37 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Phillips | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| E. Holloway | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Odzic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Rubin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. O'Rear | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| A. Koch | 32 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Farokhmanesh | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Moran | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Brown | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Dunham | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Rodenberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter