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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Taylor 34 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 7 1 0 4 6 10 -
D. Carroll 33 7-13 1-1 4-7 5 2 2 1 1 19 15 -
M. Lawrence 26 6-10 5-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 17 8 -
J.T. Tiller 24 1-7 0-1 2-4 4 2 1 1 4 4 1 -
K. Ramsey 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
L. Lyons 18 3-9 1-1 6-6 5 2 1 0 1 13 11 -
K. English 15 2-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
M. Denmon 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
M. Paul 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Safford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Bowers 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pullen 35 9-16 5-8 0-0 2 4 2 0 5 23 10 -
D. Sutton 30 3-7 0-1 2-3 8 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
D. Clemente 24 4-6 1-3 1-1 0 7 1 0 4 10 8 -
J. Samuels 24 7-9 1-1 3-5 6 4 0 2 0 18 21 -
F. Brown 22 6-11 5-6 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 17 14 -
D. Kent 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 4 -3 -
L. Colon 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
R. Anderson Jr. 16 0-3 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 1 0 0 4 -
C. Merriewether 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter