Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +25 (70-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Fall | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| M. Faye | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Walker | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Haynes | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | - |
| P. Dia | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Malone | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| F. Otis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Harp | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Kwiatkowski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - |
| J. Taylor | 28 | 9-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| I. Sosa | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Davis | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Baez | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Yotio | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Kusmieruk | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Speraw | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Pugh | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter