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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 34 5-13 2-4 10-11 12 3 4 0 10 22 18 -
K. Grady 30 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
D. Sims 30 5-12 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 2 13 4 -
Z. Novak 27 2-9 2-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -3 -
S. Douglass 21 0-6 0-5 2-3 1 0 2 0 1 2 -2 -
L. Lucas-Perry 20 2-5 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
C.J. Lee 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
Z. Gibson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wright 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Merritt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Shepherd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 39 6-9 0-0 12-13 5 4 2 2 4 24 24 -
J. Diebler 39 3-9 2-8 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 8 5 -
W. Buford 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 9 9 -
J. Simmons 27 4-8 2-4 2-6 1 2 0 0 3 12 4 -
B. Mullens 25 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 3 2 12 13 -
D. Lauderdale 19 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 2 1 4 7 -
P.J. Hill 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 1 3 -
K. Madsen 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
W. Offutt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter