Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Lampley | 31 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| L. Frazier | 30 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Perry | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Davis | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Sneed | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Wormely | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Clements | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Miller | 30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| O. Polk | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Knight | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Jakubowski | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Moten | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Marschall | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter