Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Carr | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A. Dunn | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. McFarland | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Franklin | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Ogide | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Nigon | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Lebsack | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 34 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| T. Danridge | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Faris | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| N. Garth | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Gary | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Wills | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Brown | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter