Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 37 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 34 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| G. Henderson | 30 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 9 | - |
| D. McClure | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| N. Smith | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Paulus | 17 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Williams | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| J. Teague | 34 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Aminu | 33 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| I. Smith | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L.D. Williams | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Weaver | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. McFarland | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| H. Hale | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Clark | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter