Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taber | 36 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Dumes | 35 | 9-16 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| V. Jones III | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 11 | - |
| N. Williams | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Story | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Roth | 15 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Lewis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Jobe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 38 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| K. Coble | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Thompson | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Nash | 29 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Rowley | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Shurna | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ryan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter