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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +15 (65-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hannah 31 2-5 1-3 5-7 4 6 0 0 3 10 12 -
T. Murry 29 4-11 1-3 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 9 4 -
J.T. Durley 28 4-10 0-0 4-6 8 1 2 1 1 12 13 -
A.J. Hawkins 28 3-9 0-3 1-1 0 0 2 0 0 7 0 -
R. Clemente 23 4-6 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
A. Ellis 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Chamberlain 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Hatch 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
G. Stutz 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 4 -
D. Kyles 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Griskenas 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dunson 31 4-6 3-4 7-8 7 0 0 0 2 18 17 -
S. Maniscalco 29 2-12 2-7 2-2 2 4 2 0 0 8 4 -
T. Wilson 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 1 11 11 -
E. McCain 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 5 3 -
D. Norris 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
S. Singh 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 4 4 -
T. Brown 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
C. Roberts 17 2-2 1-1 1-4 2 1 1 1 0 6 9 -
D. Collins 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 3 1 5 7 -
A. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter