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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 76.8% 23.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Ellington 37 3-13 2-8 6-7 2 1 1 0 4 14 1 -
T. Lawson 37 6-7 1-2 8-9 9 4 0 0 2 21 25 -
D. Green 32 6-13 4-7 4-5 7 3 6 1 6 20 18 -
D. Thompson 32 2-10 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
T. Hansbrough 26 4-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
E. Davis 22 3-8 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 2 1 8 9 -
B. Frasor 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 -
L. Drew II 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
W. Graves 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 37 9-20 1-5 13-14 2 1 2 0 4 32 13 -
D. Kitchen 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 4 3 -
S. Alabi 28 3-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 2 1 2 6 8 -
C. Singleton 27 3-6 2-3 0-2 2 2 0 2 1 8 7 -
U. Echefu 26 5-8 2-3 2-2 8 1 0 1 0 14 16 -
L. Loucks 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 5 3 0 4 4 6 -
R. Reid 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 4 2 -
D. Dulkys 9 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
J. DeMercy 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
X. Gibson 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter