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2009-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 36 4-12 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 1 1 10 5 -
A. Henke 34 7-14 4-8 0-1 3 2 1 2 1 18 11 -
E. Washington 34 1-6 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
G. Parker 30 4-6 1-3 0-2 3 1 0 1 2 9 6 -
M. Holland 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 3 5 -
T. Stewart 17 4-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
S. Schafer 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Hempsey 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
B. Provost 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Merriex 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McLain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 40 4-7 0-0 10-10 8 1 0 1 2 18 19 -
S. Ogirri 39 5-11 4-9 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 14 5 -
B. Ewing 39 3-8 0-3 11-14 5 8 1 0 2 17 21 -
A. Muojeke 31 5-8 2-4 4-4 10 0 0 0 3 16 15 -
D. Thiam 18 0-1 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
A. Waddell 18 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A.J. Davis 11 3-5 0-1 0-2 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
M. Diakite 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter