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2009-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 39 7-12 3-6 2-3 3 0 2 0 3 19 9 -
D. James 33 6-20 0-5 2-3 12 1 1 0 2 14 6 -
D. Balbay 31 3-3 0-0 2-4 4 4 1 1 3 8 12 -
C. Atchley 21 0-6 0-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Mason 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
V. Ward 16 1-2 0-0 6-6 4 2 0 0 1 8 11 -
G. Johnson 13 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 0 9 6 -
C. Chapman 12 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
D. Pittman 7 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
M. Hill 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers 38 5-7 0-0 3-6 12 0 0 1 2 13 17 -
C. Jerrells 35 6-18 2-7 0-0 5 3 2 1 3 14 4 -
H. Dugat 35 3-13 0-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 8 2 -
Q. Acy 30 4-5 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 3 1 11 13 -
L. Dunn 29 2-9 1-4 7-8 3 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
T. Carter 25 3-8 3-6 0-5 3 7 1 0 3 9 9 -
J. Lomers 5 1-2 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
F. Ellis 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter