Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -25 (45-70). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 35 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Z. Urbanus | 33 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Demetrius Nelson | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Dahn | 28 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| John Brown | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - |
| J. Brick | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Streeter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McDowell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Pandak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Reynolds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy King | 33 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Josh Davis | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Friday | 29 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. West | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Griffin | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| G. Bermudez | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Bedwell | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Merritt | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaylin Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Peterson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter