Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | -9.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -9 (69-78). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Farokhmanesh * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Johnny Moran * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Adam Koch * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 18-20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| J. Eglseder * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Brown | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Dunham | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Rodenberg | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooks * | 31 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Laurie * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Knapp * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Creekmore * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cardell McFarland | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. Laurie | 21 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Weems | 18 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Jehle | 15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter