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2009-01-25

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (2.3 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hall 38 5-7 0-0 2-4 6 4 0 0 2 12 13 -
C. Matthews 37 8-18 8-17 4-4 8 2 0 0 3 28 17 -
M. Davenport 28 2-6 0-1 4-4 2 3 0 0 3 8 4 -
M. Eleby 24 1-2 0-0 3-6 1 1 1 0 3 5 3 -
D. Carter 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 1 2 6 10 -
A. Nicholson 22 2-6 0-0 3-6 6 0 1 2 5 7 5 -
T. Benson 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Cook 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 27 6-15 0-2 7-7 9 3 1 3 2 19 18 -
M. Johnson 27 7-12 0-3 1-3 3 0 1 0 1 15 6 -
R. Lowery 23 3-9 2-6 7-9 2 7 1 0 2 15 14 -
K. Huelsman 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 1 2 1 6 -
C. Johnson 20 4-5 2-2 7-8 8 1 0 0 0 17 21 -
C. Little 20 0-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -7 -
L. Warren 17 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 5 1 0 0 6 11 -
D. Searcy 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -
P. Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
M. Perry 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
L. Fabrizius 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter