🐻⬇️🏀

Michigan State Spartans 78
@
Ohio State Buckeyes 67
2009-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% - ✗
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 ✗ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% - ✗
Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% - ✓

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Suton 32 6-9 1-1 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 13 14 -
K. Lucas 31 6-13 1-5 7-9 3 3 0 0 1 20 12 -
D. Summers 29 8-13 6-9 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 26 15 -
T. Walton 29 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 3 7 5 -
R. Morgan 21 1-4 0-0 2-4 5 4 0 0 2 4 7 -
D. Roe 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
K. Lucious 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Allen 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
M. Gray 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
I. Ibok 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 40 6-8 1-2 6-8 6 3 1 1 3 19 19 -
W. Buford 36 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 11 4 -
J. Diebler 33 3-6 3-6 3-3 1 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
B. Mullens 27 5-9 0-0 2-5 5 1 2 1 1 12 11 -
J. Simmons 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 8 -
D. Lauderdale 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -4 -
P.J. Hill 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter