Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Lucas | 31 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Summers | 29 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| T. Walton | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Morgan | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Roe | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Lucious | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Allen | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Gray | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| I. Ibok | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 40 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| W. Buford | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Diebler | 33 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Mullens | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Simmons | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| P.J. Hill | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter