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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -17 (52-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Martinez 34 4-8 4-5 1-2 11 3 1 0 0 13 20 -
T. Danridge 32 5-8 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 12 7 -
D. Gary 28 1-1 0-0 5-6 3 5 3 0 5 7 12 -
C. Toppert 26 3-4 1-2 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 11 14 -
D. Faris 25 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 1 3 10 6 -
P. McDonald 18 3-7 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
N. Garth 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
A.J. Hardeman 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Wills 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
W. Brown 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Langford 35 5-8 1-1 10-13 1 1 0 0 0 21 15 -
J. Ebie 33 2-6 1-3 2-4 3 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
E. Ruzgas 32 1-5 0-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Z. Buljan 26 4-10 0-3 3-5 3 2 0 0 5 11 1 -
K. Mitchem 25 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -5 -
K. Rose 18 2-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
K. Butler 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
L. Lancon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ortiz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter