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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Southern Miss Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Bynum 31 7-13 0-1 1-4 2 0 1 2 2 15 5 -
M. Navarre 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 2 5 -
B. Howard 28 4-7 3-4 1-1 6 4 0 0 3 12 12 -
D. Mbunga 27 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 12 6 -
E. Rush 26 2-5 0-1 1-5 3 1 0 0 4 5 0 -
C. Anderson 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
D. Piepoli 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
B. Johnson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Hennessy 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
A. Brown 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wise 40 3-8 1-4 0-2 3 8 2 0 4 7 8 -
C. Craft 38 8-13 3-6 1-3 9 2 1 0 2 20 17 -
R.L. Horton 37 4-13 0-2 5-7 2 0 2 0 0 13 4 -
C. Beasley 34 5-12 0-0 8-9 3 2 1 0 0 18 12 -
A. Stephens 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
G. Lino 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
R. McCauley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Brewer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter