๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +4.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Haynes 32 10-15 3-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 5 26 14 -
Brycen Long 31 0-8 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 -4 -
A. Vereen 28 8-14 1-1 3-5 7 1 0 0 1 20 13 -
J. Smith 25 1-6 0-1 2-3 3 8 2 0 2 4 9 -
T. Parker 24 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 3 0 4 13 -
T. Moffitt 22 0-2 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 0 1 4 11 -
R. Guignard 22 5-9 3-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
L. Reed III 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
J.D. Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Falkner 36 2-8 1-3 5-8 13 0 1 1 2 10 15 -
C. Allmond 32 4-11 2-7 2-2 5 3 3 0 3 12 9 -
A. Mitchell 29 2-6 1-3 9-10 5 5 1 0 2 14 17 -
J. Crow 23 2-5 0-1 5-8 5 2 2 0 0 9 13 -
D. Ramirez 23 1-3 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
L. Pevehouse 17 2-8 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Murray 15 5-9 4-8 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 14 7 -
P. Brown 14 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Kvedys 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
K. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bootle 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter