Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -15 (58-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 30 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| N. Raivio | 29 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Knutson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Stohl | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Sikma | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Waterford | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bell | 33 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Thompson | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Darby | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Shannon | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Holmes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Moore | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Dupre' | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Clardy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter