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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Borha 33 4-9 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
S. Green 32 4-7 2-4 1-3 5 3 3 0 2 11 13 -
C. Brown 31 3-10 0-0 2-2 3 6 0 0 4 8 3 -
T. Kepkay 31 3-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 -2 -
L. Nevill 31 6-12 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 4 4 14 10 -
L. Drca 30 4-4 3-3 0-0 7 5 1 0 4 11 16 -
K. Tillie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Grim 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 34 8-16 2-2 4-5 2 6 3 0 1 22 16 -
W. Adams 34 6-11 0-0 2-4 2 4 1 0 3 14 7 -
J. Darger 29 1-3 0-2 2-2 6 0 1 2 0 4 10 -
R. Rougeau 28 7-10 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 2 1 14 12 -
O. Bellfield 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 3 6 1 -
D. Santee 17 0-4 0-0 1-4 2 1 2 0 0 1 2 -
M. Rutledge 15 3-3 2-2 1-1 7 2 2 0 0 9 17 -
K. Wallace 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Massamba 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter