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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 96.0% 4.0% -
Bradley-Terry 88.7% 11.3% -
Margin 94.5% 5.5% -15.7 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 93.1% 6.9% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Log Adjusted 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -33 (60-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 33 4-11 1-3 0-0 7 4 2 0 4 9 7 -
S. Gray 26 5-10 4-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 14 11 -
M. Downs 26 1-8 0-3 8-8 6 3 1 1 1 10 12 -
M. Bouldin 24 5-8 5-7 3-4 6 1 1 0 3 18 15 -
J. Heytvelt 23 6-10 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 4 1 15 16 -
D. Goodson 19 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 5 4 -
A. Daye 17 5-8 2-3 2-2 10 2 1 1 2 14 18 -
I. Brown 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
W. Foster 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 3 4 8 -
A. Sorenson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Young 38 5-17 1-5 10-12 12 0 4 1 5 21 16 -
J. DuBois 37 3-16 3-5 2-3 2 1 2 0 1 11 -1 -
V. Teel 30 4-12 0-3 4-6 4 2 0 0 5 12 1 -
L. Armstead 26 1-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 6 7 -
C. Counts 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 2 5 -
M. Deric 21 1-5 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
B. Sweezy 19 0-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Kanne 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
G. Reilly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter