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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (0.9 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tucker 38 6-12 0-0 4-6 6 8 1 0 1 16 18 -
S. Richardson 35 5-10 3-4 3-3 5 0 1 0 1 16 11 -
P. Graham III 35 4-17 0-5 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 8 -1 -
C. Nwoji 33 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 -3 -
B. Royster 20 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
C. Coleman 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 5 10 -
C. Watson 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
S. Hernandez 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Chia-Kur 34 10-20 0-0 6-7 12 0 0 1 1 26 18 -
D. Boone 34 5-10 0-1 3-4 5 5 0 1 0 13 14 -
I. Koggu 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 8 11 -
S. Morgan 27 2-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 2 1 1 5 9 -
P.J. Keaton 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Lance 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
B. Ayers 11 1-5 1-3 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
D. Bryant 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
L. Handy 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter