Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -5 (58-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hazzard | 37 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | - |
| R. Delk | 34 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Jervis | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| M. Vogler | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| K. Ware | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Telfair | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lee | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Edwards | 35 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| B. Patterson | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| S. Moore | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 26 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8 | - |
| J. Fowler | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Jackson | 15 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Jackson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Foster | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bails | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter