Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | +13.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +4 (64-60). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Davis | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Barry Honore | 35 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Douglas Scott | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Steffon Wiley | 33 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jazz Williams | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Geri Guillory | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Julius Ingram | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gregory Horne | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hayles | 36 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Brooks | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Menji Mundadi | 26 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Wesley Jones | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chief Kickingstallionsims | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Roland Fitch | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jevon Freeman | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter