🐻⬇️🏀

Kentucky Wildcats 61
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 51
2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% - ✓
Margin 66.4% 33.6% -3.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - ✓
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -10 (51-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Meeks 38 10-18 3-5 4-6 9 1 3 0 3 27 19 -
P. Stevenson 37 3-9 0-2 10-13 12 4 0 1 4 16 20 -
D. Miller 33 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 2 2 3 3 0 9 -
P. Patterson 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 6 4 -
D. Liggins 23 3-6 1-2 4-5 1 3 1 1 4 11 7 -
M. Porter 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Harrellson 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
R. Harris 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -2 -
A.J. Stewart 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Galloway 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Green 36 5-9 0-0 5-7 5 2 1 2 3 15 13 -
A. Gee 35 3-10 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 2 0 8 9 -
S. Hillman 30 3-12 2-3 1-2 1 1 2 1 6 9 -4 -
Y. Coleman 27 1-3 0-0 3-6 6 1 1 0 2 5 8 -
M. Torrance 24 0-8 0-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Brock 17 2-7 2-3 0-1 2 1 1 1 3 6 1 -
J. Knox 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
A. Steele 15 1-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -

* = starter