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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Lamar Cardinals Texas State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (12.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Texas State Bobcats -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dawkins 37 3-11 1-5 2-3 1 2 1 0 4 9 -2 -
B. McThay 33 5-8 2-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 14 8 -
A. Hall 33 3-7 0-1 7-10 5 2 1 2 2 13 14 -
T. Worrell 27 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 4 5 3 -
J. Brown 24 7-11 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 2 5 16 12 -
S. Williams 21 1-1 0-0 1-3 5 4 0 0 4 3 7 -
C. Custer 14 2-3 1-1 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
C. Harper 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Mahoney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Miles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T.J. Riley 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Pace 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Ybarra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jefferson 33 3-7 0-1 2-3 2 6 2 0 2 8 9 -
B. Bush 30 2-9 0-2 3-7 10 2 0 0 5 7 5 -
C. Johnson 25 9-14 0-0 1-5 13 1 1 0 4 19 16 -
J. Rybak 25 5-12 2-6 1-2 6 1 3 0 2 13 9 -
J. Bowman 24 3-9 2-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 8 2 -
B. Benson 20 1-10 0-6 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 -2 -
R. White 13 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Sloan 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Moseley 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Gough 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 4 0 -
R. Jackson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter