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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (19.3 off)

Actual: Pacific Tigers +22 (58-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Devine 31 2-8 0-1 4-4 7 1 0 0 3 8 5 -
J. Nunnally 28 3-7 1-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 9 6 -
J. Powell 24 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -5 -
D.J. Posley 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Serna 22 2-2 0-0 2-3 2 2 1 1 0 6 10 -
W. Brew 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Weiner 18 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 -2 -
G. Somogyi 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
S. Phippen 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
N. Quick 7 1-5 0-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. LeDuc 31 2-6 0-2 3-4 12 0 1 2 0 7 16 -
M. Kirby 26 3-11 3-7 0-0 1 2 3 0 4 9 0 -
J. Ford 25 6-9 0-0 1-1 6 5 2 0 0 13 17 -
C. Troyer 24 4-10 4-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 14 5 -
S. Willard 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 4 9 -
A. Brown 18 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
T. Smith 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Neufville 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Doran 13 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -4 -
C. Neimeyer 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Hawkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shipley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter