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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Washington State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -

Actual: Washington State Cougars -2 (44-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 1-8 1-2 11-14 4 1 0 0 0 14 11 -
T. Gibson 38 3-10 0-0 6-10 12 1 0 3 2 12 16 -
D. DeRozan 32 2-7 0-0 1-4 4 0 2 0 2 5 2 -
K. Wilkinson 32 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
N. Vucevic 30 4-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
M. Johnson 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
L. Washington 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 36 5-11 3-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
T. Rochestie 35 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 6 2 -
C. Forrest 34 1-11 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 3 4 -2 -
D. Harmeling 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Baynes 28 4-7 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 0 0 12 15 -
D. Casto 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
M. Capers 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Lodwick 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
N. Koprivica 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter