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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Washington State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -0.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Margin 50.1% 49.9% +0.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—

Actual: Washington State Cougars -2 (44-46). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Hackett 40 1-8 1-2 11-14 4 1 0 0 0 14 11 -
Taj Gibson 38 3-10 0-0 6-10 12 1 0 3 2 12 16 -
DeMar DeRozan 32 2-7 0-0 1-4 4 0 2 0 2 5 2 -
K. Wilkinson 32 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Nikola Vucevic 30 4-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
Marcus Johnson 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
L. Washington 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson 36 5-11 3-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
Taylor Rochestie 35 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 6 2 -
C. Forrest 34 1-11 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 3 4 -2 -
D. Harmeling 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Aron Baynes 28 4-7 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 0 0 12 15 -
D. Casto 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
M. Capers 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Lodwick 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
N. Koprivica 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter