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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 36 5-14 0-4 2-2 5 5 1 1 2 12 8 -
J. Shipp 35 8-14 6-9 3-3 3 0 0 2 3 25 13 -
J. Holiday 32 3-9 1-4 1-1 5 6 1 0 2 8 9 -
N. Dragovic 24 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 8 4 -
A. Aboya 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
J. Keefe 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
M. Roll 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
D. Gordon 11 2-3 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 1 1 5 7 -
J. Morgan 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Anderson 5 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
M. Lee 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Thomas 33 6-14 3-8 9-12 0 1 1 0 2 24 10 -
J. Brockman 32 5-8 0-0 8-10 8 0 0 0 2 18 16 -
D. Gant 26 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
Q. Pondexter 26 4-9 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 1 3 10 6 -
V. Overton 20 3-5 0-1 4-5 3 2 2 0 4 10 8 -
J. Holiday 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 3 9 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 2 2 -
J. Dentmon 17 3-5 0-1 10-10 2 1 2 0 0 16 16 -
E. Turner Jr. 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter