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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% -
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers 36 5-11 0-0 1-3 8 0 1 0 1 11 8 -
C. Jerrells 36 8-19 4-9 6-6 6 6 4 0 4 26 19 -
T. Carter 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
H. Dugat 28 2-12 1-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 -2 -
L. Dunn 26 8-21 4-13 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 20 6 -
Q. Acy 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
J. Lomers 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
F. Ellis 6 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Jones 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Diene 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Wright 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 35 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 8 8 -
B. Griffin 33 6-15 0-0 8-10 17 4 1 0 2 20 25 -
T. Griffin 30 7-9 0-0 4-4 7 1 3 4 5 18 19 -
T. Crocker 28 5-8 2-3 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 12 7 -
W. Warren 24 6-8 2-4 3-3 2 2 0 0 2 17 11 -
O. Leary 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 7 -
J. Pattillo 14 4-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 1 0 9 9 -
R. Wright 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T.J. Franklin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
O. Allen 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Willis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Gerber 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Cannon 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter