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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.5 (34.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +41 (85-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Milbourne 30 9-16 0-0 1-1 5 2 2 1 0 19 13 -
A. Bowie 30 1-10 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 3 -3 -
G. Vasquez 28 2-10 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -8 -
S. Mosley 23 1-7 1-2 1-2 5 2 1 1 1 4 5 -
E. Hayes 20 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -7 -
D. Neal 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
C. Tucker 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Gregory 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 3 2 1 5 -
B. Dupree 8 1-5 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Kim 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Pearman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Goins 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 24 4-13 4-8 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
G. Henderson 23 7-8 2-2 1-3 8 4 2 0 2 17 21 -
K. Singler 22 3-9 1-3 4-4 7 2 2 2 2 11 13 -
N. Smith 19 2-6 2-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 8 9 -
B. Zoubek 18 4-7 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 4 0 9 19 -
G. Paulus 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 7 8 -
L. Thomas 17 3-6 0-0 1-4 3 0 2 2 0 7 8 -
E. Williams 14 3-5 1-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Plumlee 12 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 3 0 0 4 -
D. McClure 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Pocius 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
O. Czyz 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
S. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter